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Operational update

Middle East

This page is updated as new information becomes available. The rolling update log at the bottom contains the most recent entries.

OVERVIEW

Following the military escalation between the US, Israel, and Iran on 28 February–1 March 2026, transport operations across the Middle East have been significantly disrupted. The situation remains dynamic. This page will be updated as new information becomes available.

Your Forto contact will reach out directly if your specific shipment is affected.

For immediate queries, contact us here:
https://forto.com/en/contact-us

GENERAL UPDATE – 15 June 2026, 11:55 CET

In a sharp reversal from last week’s escalation, the US and Iran announced on 14 June that they have reached an agreement to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Trump declared the deal “complete,” authorising reopening of the strait and the immediate removal of the US naval blockade; Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, a key mediator, made a parallel announcement minutes earlier. The memorandum of understanding is to be officially signed on 19 June in Switzerland, with Trump stating the strait would reopen the same day.

The MoU draft comprises 14 points and includes an end to the war (including in Lebanon), a 60-day window for final negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme, the lifting of oil and some financial sanctions, and the unfreezing of an estimated $24 billion in Iranian funds. Iran will also reaffirm its commitment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Iran’s deputy foreign minister confirmed the agreement and said Tehran would publish the MoU text once officially signed.

Markets reacted strongly. Oil prices fell to their lowest level since March: Brent crude futures dropped 4.1% to $83.75 a barrel, and US WTI fell 4.7% to $80.87, after both benchmarks had already declined more than 3% on Friday.
Market estimates that resuming pre-war traffic levels would take 6–8 weeks even after an opening. The same constraints apply now: war-risk insurance cover, mine clearance, and confirmation of safe passage all need to be in place before carriers resume transits at scale. As of this morning, no major carrier has announced a return to Hormuz.

Cape of Good Hope routing therefore remains the operational baseline for all Asia–Europe container services. The three variables that will determine when capacity actually returns are the 19 June signing, the restoration of war-risk insurance cover, and confirmation that the waterway is physically safe to transit.

SEA
LOGISTICS

Last updated: 15 June 2026, 13:00

AIR
LOGISTICS

Last updated: 15 June 2026, 13:00

ROLLING UPDATE LOG