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Operational update

Middle East

This page is updated as new information becomes available. The rolling update log at the bottom contains the most recent entries.

OVERVIEW

Following the military escalation between the US, Israel, and Iran on 28 February–1 March 2026, transport operations across the Middle East have been significantly disrupted. The situation remains dynamic. This page will be updated as new information becomes available.

Your Forto contact will reach out directly if your specific shipment is affected.

For immediate queries, contact us here:
https://forto.com/en/contact-us

General Update – May 20th, 2026

The Hormuz Crisis is now in its 81st day. The ceasefire agreed on 8 April remains technically in place but is under severe strain. Peace talks mediated by Pakistan — focused on a 14-point memorandum of understanding covering Hormuz reopening, Iran’s nuclear programme, and US sanctions — have stalled, with both sides publicly rejecting each other’s proposals. For the second consecutive day on 19 May, zero vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz — a new low point. Traffic through the strait ran at approximately 5% of pre-conflict levels across April; over 1,550 commercial vessels remain stranded with 22,500 mariners trapped on board.

The most significant development of the past two weeks was the launch and rapid suspension of Operation Project Freedom. On 4 May, US Navy vessels began escorting commercial ships through the strait. By 5 May the operation was paused, with Trump citing “great progress” in peace talks and the request of Saudi Arabia and other Gulf allies. On the same day, CMA CGM confirmed its container vessel San Antonio was struck by missiles while transiting the strait, with crew members injured and evacuated. It was the second CMA CGM container ship attacked in the strait since the war began.

Neither side has removed its blockade. The US naval blockade of Iranian ports, active since 13 April, remains in place. Iran continues to restrict strait access and has introduced new procedures requiring vessels to receive prior authorisation from Iranian maritime authorities before transiting. Cape of Good Hope routing remains the operational baseline for all Asia–Europe container services. No major carrier has announced a return to Gulf operations.

Brent crude averaged $117 per barrel in April — its highest since June 2022, peaking at $138 per barrel on 7 April — and currently stands at approximately $111 per barrel, around 70% above year-ago levels. Marine bunker costs have outpaced crude: VLSFO in Singapore rose 113% in five weeks to $1,034 per tonne, with Fujairah up 162% to $1,248 per tonne. Rotterdam VLSFO stood at $816 per tonne as of 13 May — up approximately 57% from pre-war levels — with further upward pressure as Gulf refinery imports were severed entirely by the dual blockade. These costs are feeding directly into freight surcharges across all modes — major carriers are applying War Risk Surcharges of up to $1,500 per TEU alongside Emergency Bunker and Transit Disruption Surcharges reviewed weekly; Hapag-Lloyd alone estimates the crisis is costing it $60 million per week.

 

SEA
LOGISTICS

Last updated: 20 May 2026, 17:00

AIR
LOGISTICS

Last updated: 15 May 2026, 16:30

ROLLING UPDATE LOG