Operational update
Middle East
This page is updated as new information becomes available. The rolling update log at the bottom contains the most recent entries.
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Operational update
This page is updated as new information becomes available. The rolling update log at the bottom contains the most recent entries.
Following the military escalation between the US, Israel, and Iran on 28 February–1 March 2026, transport operations across the Middle East have been significantly disrupted. The situation remains dynamic. This page will be updated as new information becomes available.
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The reopening that followed the 17–19 June MOU signing is moving forward, but it is neither stable nor settled. Volumes have rebounded quickly — roughly 125 vessels crossed last week against just 33 the week prior, though still below the pre-war norm of around 120 per day. On 23 June the IMO launched a formal evacuation scheme for the estimated 600 ships and 11,000 seafarers still trapped in the Gulf, routing them through Omani and Iranian waters under US oversight.
That momentum stalled on 25 June, when a container ship was attacked near Oman and the IMO suspended its scheme pending fresh safety assurances. The incident followed a warning from Iran’s new Persian Gulf Strait Authority that transit outside its approved routes would fall outside its guarantee of safe passage — which is the heart of the problem. Washington maintains the strait is open; Tehran insists it controls who passes and on which route, and has now shown it will act on that. Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd both brought vessels out on 25 June on their own security assessments, but carriers are still moving ship-by-ship rather than reinstating scheduled services.
On energy, Brent has softened to about $73 a barrel, but forecasters remain wary of timing. For now the Cape of Good Hope stays the default routing for Asia–Europe services. The trajectory points toward reopening, but the 25 June attack is a clear reminder that reliable, predictable passage is not yet a given, and we continue to plan around a phased, security-led recovery rather than a clean return to normal.
Last updated: 26 June 2026, 11:20
Last updated: 30 June 2026, 13:00